Man’s Conquest of Nature is Only Temporary

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Crux of Terms of Surrender by John Michael Greer:

  • The belief in Progress has a central theme of Man conquering Nature and submitting her to his will: Disease is conquered by medicine, distance by motorized transportation, the soil by fertilizers, and so on.

  • “according to this way of looking at things, Nature is not supposed to put up more than a pro forma struggle or a passive resistance. Above all, once any part of Nature is conquered, it’s supposed to stay conquered—and of course that’s where the trouble creeps in, because a great many of the things we habitually lump together as Nature are refusing to go along with the script.”

  • For example, “A large and growing number of pathogenic microbes these days are already resistant to the antibiotics that used to treat them; new antibiotics brought onto the market start running into problems with resistant bacteria in a fraction of the time that was once necessary for resistance to emerge; and the transfer of antibiotic resistance from one species to another is becoming an increasingly troubling problem.”

  • But most people “respond with an overfamiliar sentence: “Oh, I’m sure they’ll think of something.” The increasingly frantic efforts of researchers to find new antibiotics and stay ahead of the remorselessly rising tide of microbial resistance get no more attention than the equally frantic efforts, say, of drilling companies to find petroleum deposits to make up for the increasingly rapid depletion of existing oil fields.”

  • Another example is The Green Revolution in agriculture: “The barrage of fertilizers and poisons the proponents of that movement turned on agriculture won a temporary advantage over the hard subsistence limits of earlier eras, but it was only temporary. The reckless use of artificial fertilizers turned out to have drastic downsides, while the poisons drove insects and weeds into exactly the same frenzy of intensive natural selection that antibiotics brought to the microbial world.”

  • “Farmers faced by resistant weeds and pests, like physicians faced by resistant microbes, are turning to increasingly desperate measures to get the same results that their equivalents got with much less trouble. That’s exactly the situation that’s driving the current fracking boom and bubble, too. Back in the glory days of petroleum exploration and discovery, drillers could punch a well a few hundred feet into the ground and hit oil; now it takes hugely expensive deepwater drilling, tar sands extraction, or hydrofracturing of shale and other “tight oil” deposits to keep the liquid fuel flowing, and the costs keep rising year after year.”

  • Since in the long term all those efforts will cease to be effective, “the age of petroleum, and everything that unfolded from it, was exactly the same sort of temporary condition as the age of antibiotics and the Green Revolution.”

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Online Universities Will Kill Mediocre Colleges

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Crux of Napster, Udacity, and the Academy by Clay Shirky:

  • College education is expensive, leaving students in debt.
  • Though online courses may not be able to compete with elite universities, they will improve with time and become better than mediocre colleges.

Violence Against Women Correlates With Political Instability

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Crux of What Sex Means for World Peace by Valerie M. Hudson:

“Using the largest extant database on the status of women in the world today […] we found that there is a strong and highly significant link between state security and women’s security. In fact, the very best predictor of a state’s peacefulness is not its level of wealth, its level of democracy, or its ethno-religious identity; the best predictor of a state’s peacefulness is how well its women are treated. What’s more, democracies with higher levels of violence against women are as insecure and unstable as nondemocracies.”

Empires Follow a Process of Catabolic Collapse

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Crux of The Trajectory of Empires by John Michael Greer:

  • “The fall of civilizations takes place through a process [of] catabolic collapse”: when the economic activity required to maintain the empire overshoots its dwindling resource base.
  • The economic cost of maintaining an empire tends to increase over time.
  • The resources are always limited, and usually suffer under-investment because of the extraction of wealth up the imperial pyramid.
  • As this process proceeds, the empire must repeatedly shrink to fit its shrinking resource base.

Empires Are Built As Pyramids

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Crux of The Structure of Empires by John Michael Greer:

  • “Free trade is simply one of the mechanisms of empire in the age of industrialism, one part of the wealth pump that concentrated the wealth of the globe in Britain during the years of its imperial dominion and does the same thing for the benefit of the United States today.”
  • “Flows of wealth can be used to trace out the structure of empire”: It is a pyramid of nations, each extracting wealth from those under it.
  • Inside each nation, there’s a pyramid of people, each extracting wealth from those under themselves: “The vast majority of people in the imperial nation and its allies, and a certain fraction of those even in the most heavily exploited subject nations, receive at least a modest share of wealth and privilege in exchange for their cooperation in maintaining the imperial system”.

Empires Are Wealth Pumps

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Crux of The Nature of Empire by John Michael Greer:

  • People use the word Empire as a symbol or evil (e.g. David Korten) or order and peace (e.g. Niall Ferguson). But the actual meaning is this:
  • “An empire is an arrangement among nations, backed and usually imposed by military force, that extracts wealth from a periphery of subject nations and concentrates it in the imperial core. Put more simply, an empire is a wealth pump, a device to enrich one nation at the expense of others.”
  • There are different methods for extracting wealth. Ancient empires used direct tributes, modern ones, like the US, use unbalanced exchange.

Human work will be more efficient than machines

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Crux of The Recovery of the Human by John Michael Greer:

  • There are three problems with accepting the myth of the machine:
    1. It causes you to avoid necessary adaptation, since you expect a machine will solve whatever problems come.
    2. It makes you depend on others who control the machines.
    3. Although machines were more efficient in the age of cheap energy, they will not be so now that we are passing peak-oil.
  • Machines need cheap abundant energy to function: “That energy powers the machine, (…) manufactures it, keeps spare parts in stock, and powers and supplies the huge networks that make it possible for the machine to do what it does.”
  • Since energy is becoming more expensive, human work will become superior to machines: “In a world without vast amounts of cheap energy, human flexibility and creativity consistently beats mindless mechanical rigidity.”
  • We will have to rediscover or invent our human capacities. But mainstream thinkers won’t help in this because they accept the mainstream myths of the machine and of progress.

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